How I lost 1000€ betting on CS:GO — Practice
Part 2 of a series of 2 posts where I explore how I lost 1000 euros betting on CS:GO with machine learning (ML). This post covers the actual implementation of the solution: CS:GO, feature engineering, modelling, validation, backtesting and lessons learned.
How I lost 1000€ betting on CS:GO — Theory
Part 1 of a series of 2 posts where I explore how I lost 1000 euros betting on CS:GO with machine learning (ML). This post covers the foundations of e-sports betting with ML: financial decision-making, expected profits of a bet, multiple bets with the Kelly criterion, probability calibration, and the winner’s curse.
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